By Staff Writers
Sharon
Livingston has seen a change in the housing market first hand. Two
years ago, she and her husband offered to buy their Windham
Colonial-style house about an hour after it went on the market.
“I snapped it up,” said Livingston, who paid $629,000 for the house.
“It was such a small market (then), “ she added. “There were hardly any houses.”
The Livingstons are now moving to Tilton and their Colonial is up for sale. Their asking price is $619,000.
The house has been on the market about three weeks. A few people have looked at it, but there are no buyers yet, she said.
“It’s such a different environment (now),” Livingston said.
Area real estate experts and agents suggest the recent shift is more like a return to normalcy than an impending catastrophe.
“The market is not all the doom and gloom you see in the media,”
said Jeff Keeler, owner of Pembroke’s Keeler Family Realty and chairman
of public policy for the New Hampshire Association of Realtors. “The
sky is not falling.”
Keeler said many homes have been staying on the market longer,
frustrating many sellers. But he said sellers and real estate brokers
have been living the high life until now.
“What we’re seeing is a reaction to 11 solid years of appreciation,” said Keeler.
Keeler described the last six months as a kind of “plateau” period.
No cooldown in Hooksett
Ken Culbertson, owner of Hooksett’s Coldwell Banker Culbertson
Realty, said the problem relates more to educating sellers and real
estate agents who may unreasonably still expect to seal a good deal in
three to six weeks.
“Right now it’s more historically normal,” he said. “It’s normal for it to take three to six months.”
One sign of a reasonably active local market, said Culbertson,
is that a wave of new Hooksett homes are selling at prices unseen in
town before.
“Houses are being built in Hooksett that are $100,000 or $150,000 higher than they’ve ever been here,” said Culbertson.
Hooksett Assessing Coordinator Sandy Piper said one Hooksett home sold for $624,000 in August.
Reviewing the numbers and types of home sales in recent months, Piper said she’s noticed little, if any, cooling effect.”
“Honest to goodness, I don’t see it cooling down,” she said.
Piper said there are perhaps more homes on the market, but said sales numbers aren’t lagging.
“I’m finding a lot of people who have homes in Hooksett are buying new houses in Hooksett,” she said. “They’re upgrading.”
Why there’s a change
Keeler said while the local market may not be as disastrous as
many may perceive, a portion of the housing market is creating a
statewide crisis.
He suggested town restrictions on developers, like growth
controls and excessive fees, that have cropped up in recent years have
led to a shortage in affordable housing.
“The towns put as many impediments as they can on residential growth,” he said.
The result, said Keeler, is that builders build more expensive homes in order to make a profit.
Keeler said the New Hampshire phenomenon has led to a surplus in
homes in the $350,000 to $500,000 range, but said there’s still a need
for housing for young families, which he suggested invigorate local
economies.
“There’s none of it being built,” he said. “$225,000 and below, it’s pretty much still a seller’s market.”
Livingston agreed with that assessment. She thinks a huge building glut in town has changed the market.
“I think it’s obvious that the activity level has certainly
slowed down compared to six months ago and I think sellers have to
negotiate a little more than they did six months ago,” said Sandy Heino
of Sandy Heino and Associates Realty in the Bow/Hopkinton area. “Part
of it is just this time of year, in the fall, when things usually slow
down, and I think part of it is when people listen to the TV or the
radio and hear that it is a buyer’s market and things are going to get
worse, they believe it,” she said.
Slower to sell
“Our inventory of houses is very high, with a low inventory of
buyers. Lots of sellers, but there aren’t as many buyers as we’ve had
in the past,” said Anna Fish of Century 21 Advantage Realty, with
offices on Mast Road in Goffstown.
While Fish said prices have remained static over the past half decade, buyers are not as quick to snatch a home off the market.
“A few years ago, the prices were about the same as they are
now,” Fish said, “but if I bought a house in January, I could sell it
in six months and make a profit. I can’t do that now.
“People are beginning to realize the party is over, we’re back
to where we were before it started. People are starting to realize
that, because their houses are sitting longer,” Fish said.
To offset the change, Heino said sellers are offering
incentives to build buyers confidence such as paying points and closing
costs, offering one-time price reductions during open houses, or
updating appliances and flooring.
“Sellers need to make their house stand out above everything
else,” she said. “You only have one chance to make that first
impression.”
It had been a “seller’s market” the past decade, according to
Nancy Casagrande, general manager of ERA The Masiello Group in Windham.
Now, there are more homes than buyers, she said.
“Obviously, we are in a buyer’s market,” Casagrande said. “Prices are adjusting.”
Casagrande said that, conservatively, prices of existing homes have come down 10 to 15 percent.
Average home prices
Home sale prices show a wide range of numbers. The 63 home sales
in Goffstown between July and August ranged in price from $50,000 for a
mobile home to $435,000 for a residence, while New Boston saw 25 home
sales spanning $10,000 to $770,000 and Weare’s 41 home sales covered
financial territory from $54,000 to $412,000, according to data from
Real Data Corp., an online database tracking public record information
in New Hampshire and Vermont.
Goffstown saw 140 home sales in 2005 for an average of
$258,958, according to information from the Northern New England Real
Estate Network. The same report shows 39 home sales in New Boston last
year averaging $386,162, and Weare showing 81 home sales with an
average price of $246,795.
Of 41 standard house sales in Pelham between mid-June and mid-August, the average price was $398,571.
The highest sale was $660,000 for an eight-room Colonial-style
house built on nearly six acres last year. The lowest sale was $206,000
for a 1974 Cape Cod-style home situated on one acre.
In July and August, 40 traditional homes including two
exceeding the $1 million mark changed hands in Windham. The average
price was $481,135.
At the highest end was a modern/contemporary Beech Street home
in Windham that fetched $1.225 million. At the other end was a
34-year-old condominium that sold for $153,466.
More foreclosures
Real estate agents said foreclosures have increased.
Joanne Riopel of Innovative Realty in Pelham said sometimes a
family buys a new home before their current one sells and carries two
mortgages. But the house they left doesn’t sell as quickly as they had
hoped, and the family finds themselves in a financial bind.
Reviewing the number of foreclosures in Goffstown, one town official pointed to a sharp jump in that statistic.
While Goffstown has record of 14 foreclosure notices since June of this year, the town counted 15 foreclosures in all of 2005.
“It seems like a lot of foreclosures,” said Deputy Tax Collector
Rene Millson. “I can tell you the folder (of foreclosure notices) is
pretty fat.”
National trends
“While new-home sales have been quite strong throughout 2005, we
see a cooling of the market to a healthy and more sustainable pace in
the months ahead, as substantiated by recent surveys of our builders,”
said NAHB chief economist David Seiders. “For 2006, we expect to see a
6 percent to 7 percent drop in sales, but certainly no reason for
alarm. This would make 2006 the second or third best year in housing
history.”
If you must sell
A seller’s best bet it to listen to their agent when setting a price for their home, Fish said.
“If you’re moving and you need to quickly, you better list it
for what your agent tells you to list it for, because they know. A lot
of the reason why houses are slower to sell is because sellers start
out with an asking price that’s too high,” she said.
“Right now is a good time to buy and some buyers are making
offers with great, great reductions to sellers,” Berge Nalbandian of
Berge’s Real Estate in Salem said. “I’ve been doing this for 50 years
and it’ll come around again like in the years prior.”
In the meantime, builders have been giving discounts and extras in new homes that aren’t normally included, he said.
Nicholas Brown, Darrell Halen, Rod Hansen, Jim Devine, Joseph
Edgerton, Ryan O’Connor Steven Andrews and Robert Inks contributed to
this story.